Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Watkins Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Montgomery Village
Tract 24031700810 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,912 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
24031700810 is a census tract in the Watkins Mill area of Montgomery Village, MD. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,904
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$153,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montgomery Village and the region
Centroid at 39.1885, -77.2051 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watkins Mill scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montgomery Village
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,253 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montgomery Village
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.5
How Watkins Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Watkins Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watkins Mill
It sits 1.9 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $2,253 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Montgomery Village commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $153,281, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700810
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700810?
Census tract 24031700810 in the Watkins Mill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700810?
Median gross rent is $2,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700810?
7.2% of residents in tract 24031700810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,912.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700810?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 35th, minority 80th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700810 considered part of Watkins Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700810 fall within Watkins Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700810 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700810 compare to Montgomery Village overall?
Tract 24031700810 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Montgomery Village at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montgomery Village eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montgomery Village
Top eight tracts in Montgomery Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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