Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Watkins Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Montgomery Village
Tract 24031700813 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,420 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Eviction risk in the Watkins Mill area of Montgomery Village centers on tract 24031700813, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,420 residents. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 82% of renter households, a severe level, and 66% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,626 a month against an average household income of $102,468 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,009
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$102,468
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montgomery Village and the region
Centroid at 39.1730, -77.2135 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watkins Mill scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montgomery Village
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,626 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montgomery Village
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.5
How Watkins Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Watkins Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watkins Mill
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 5.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Montgomery Village eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700813
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700813?
Census tract 24031700813 in the Watkins Mill neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700813?
Median gross rent is $1,626/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700813?
7.3% of residents in tract 24031700813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700813?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 74th, minority 80th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700813 considered part of Watkins Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700813 fall within Watkins Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700813 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700813 compare to Montgomery Village overall?
Tract 24031700813 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Montgomery Village at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montgomery Village eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montgomery Village
Top eight tracts in Montgomery Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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