Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Watkins Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Montgomery Village
Tract 24031700813 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,420 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
24031700813 is a census tract in the Watkins Mill area of Montgomery Village, MD. It scores 5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 66%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,009
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$102,468
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montgomery Village and the region
Centroid at 39.1730, -77.2135 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watkins Mill scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montgomery Village
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,626 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montgomery Village
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.5
How Watkins Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Watkins Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watkins Mill
82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.0 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0. At $1,626 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Montgomery Village commands. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $102,468. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700813
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700813?
Census tract 24031700813 in the Watkins Mill neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700813?
Median gross rent is $1,626/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700813?
7.3% of residents in tract 24031700813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700813?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 74th, minority 80th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700813 considered part of Watkins Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700813 fall within Watkins Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700813 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700813 compare to Montgomery Village overall?
Tract 24031700813 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Montgomery Village at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montgomery Village eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montgomery Village
Top eight tracts in Montgomery Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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