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Neighborhood · Montgomery Village, MD

Watkins Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,332 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.1–5

Watkins Mill spans 2 census tracts of Montgomery Village, MD, population 11,332. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 40%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 59% against 39.4% citywide, putting Watkins Mill 19.4% over its own city. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.9 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,953, close to the Montgomery Village average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Watkins Mill vs Montgomery Village How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.8% +49%
Montgomery Village: 39.4%
Average gross rent
$1,953 +2%
Montgomery Village: $1,916
Average HH income
$128,978 +23%
Montgomery Village: $105,158
Poverty rate
7.2% -27%
Montgomery Village: 9.9%
Renter share
20.0% -38%
Montgomery Village: 32.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watkins Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–5

Why Watkins Mill scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
20% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–4.7 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Watkins Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Watkins Mill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Watkins MillNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Watkins Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031700813 5 5,420 82% $1,626
24031700810 4.1 5,912 37% $2,253
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Watkins Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Watkins Mill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Watkins Mill?

Watkins Mill scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Watkins Mill compare to Montgomery Village overall?

Watkins Mill scores 0.1 points lower than Montgomery Village overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $1,953 vs $1,916.
Q3

What is the average rent in Watkins Mill?

Average gross rent in Watkins Mill is $1,953/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Watkins Mill residents are renters?

20% of Watkins Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Montgomery Village). The neighborhood has 11,332 residents.
Q5

Is Watkins Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Watkins Mill sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Watkins Mill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Watkins Mill is census tract 24031700813 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Watkins Mill for landlords?

Watkins Mill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Montgomery Village as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Watkins Mill?

Watkins Mill has 11,176 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (32%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Watkins Mill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Montgomery Village

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Watkins Mill.

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