Neighborhood · Montgomery Village, MD

Watkins Mill Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,332 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.3–3.9

Watkins Mill is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Montgomery Village with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,332 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 40% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,953/month sits 2% higher than the Montgomery Village citywide average ($1,916).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Watkins Mill vs Montgomery Village How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.8% +49%

Montgomery Village: 39.4%

Average gross rent

$1,953 +2%

Montgomery Village: $1,916

Average HH income

$128,978 +23%

Montgomery Village: $105,158

Poverty rate

7.2% -27%

Montgomery Village: 9.9%

Renter share

20.0% -38%

Montgomery Village: 32.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watkins Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.3–3.9

Why Watkins Mill scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts

1.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–4.7 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Watkins Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Watkins Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24031700813	3.9	5,420	82%	$1,626
24031700810	3.3	5,912	37%	$2,253

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 54%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Watkins Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.5%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
11.6%No health insurance
23.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Watkins Mill

What is the eviction-risk score for Watkins Mill?

Watkins Mill scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Watkins Mill compare to Montgomery Village overall?

Watkins Mill scores 2.5 points lower than Montgomery Village overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $1,953 vs $1,916.

What is the average rent in Watkins Mill?

Average gross rent in Watkins Mill is $1,953/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Watkins Mill residents are renters?

20% of Watkins Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Montgomery Village). The neighborhood has 11,332 residents.

Is Watkins Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Watkins Mill sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Watkins Mill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Watkins Mill is census tract 24031700813 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 3.9, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Watkins Mill for landlords?

Watkins Mill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Montgomery Village as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Watkins Mill?

Watkins Mill has 11,176 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (32%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Watkins Mill

3.6 Charlene 5 tracts · pop 28,238 4.2 Quail Valley 4 tracts · pop 17,819 3.8 Brandermill 2 tracts · pop 7,591 4.2 Metropolitan Grove 4 tracts · pop 17,069 3.2 Germantown Park 2 tracts · pop 14,592 2.3 Hamlet North 4 tracts · pop 20,319

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Montgomery Village

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Watkins Mill.

3.5 Charlene 5 tracts · pop 28,238 4.3 Quail Valley 4 tracts · pop 17,819

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