Hollinridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. At $3,501 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Potomac commands.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Disability prevalence reaches 18.6% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Potomac, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Holly Hill and Montgomery Square. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.