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Neighborhood · Potomac, MD

Montgomery Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,314 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Montgomery Square is a one-tract neighborhood of Potomac, MD, population 6,314. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 14% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well below the Potomac rate of 27.3%.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10. At $3,501 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Potomac commands.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Disability prevalence reaches 18.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Potomac, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Holly Hill and Copenhaver score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $246,090, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Montgomery Square vs Potomac How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
14.2% -48%
Potomac: 27.3%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +21%
Potomac: $2,887
Average HH income
$246,090 +3%
Potomac: $239,205
Poverty rate
2.0% -46%
Potomac: 3.7%
Renter share
13.0% -15%
Potomac: 15.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Montgomery Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Montgomery Square scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
14% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Montgomery Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Montgomery Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Montgomery SquareNeighborhood5.8Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Montgomery Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031701206 4.9 6,314 14% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Montgomery Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Montgomery Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Montgomery Square?

Montgomery Square scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Montgomery Square compare to Potomac overall?

Montgomery Square scores 0.9 points lower than Potomac overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 14% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,887.
Q3

What is the average rent in Montgomery Square?

Average gross rent in Montgomery Square is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Montgomery Square residents are renters?

13% of Montgomery Square households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Potomac). The neighborhood has 6,314 residents.
Q5

Is Montgomery Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Montgomery Square sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Montgomery Square for landlords?

Montgomery Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Potomac as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Montgomery Square?

Montgomery Square has 6,529 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.6%), Hispanic / Latino (16.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Montgomery Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Potomac

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Montgomery Square.

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