Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Potomac
Tract 24031706013 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,937 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 24031706013 in the Holly Hill area of Potomac, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,937 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 2%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units946
Renter share3.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Holly Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
33th percentile
#7 of 10 tracts In Potomac
Low
Within county
18th percentile
#191 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
39th percentile
#893 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Potomac and the region
Centroid at 39.0095, -77.1590 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hill scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Potomac
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Potomac
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
How Holly Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.9%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
5.1%Food insecurity
2.9%SNAP enrollment
3.2%Transit barriers
4.0%No health insurance
9.6%Frequent mental distress
18.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.7% across Montgomery County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 5.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031706013
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031706013?
Census tract 24031706013 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031706013?
2.8% of residents in tract 24031706013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,937.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031706013?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 44th, minority 55th, housing 9th.
Q4
Is tract 24031706013 considered part of Holly Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031706013 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 24031706013 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24031706013 compare to Potomac overall?
Tract 24031706013 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Potomac at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Potomac eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Potomac
Top eight tracts in Potomac ranked by composite eviction-risk score.