Tract 24031701206 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,314 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 24031701206 in the Montgomery Square area of Potomac, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 14% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 11%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,062
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$246,090
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Montgomery Square
Moderate
Within parent city
22th percentile
#8 of 10 tracts In Potomac
Low
Within county
20th percentile
#186 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
39th percentile
#893 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Potomac and the region
Centroid at 39.0497, -77.1676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montgomery Square scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Potomac
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Potomac
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
How Montgomery Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.3%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.1%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
9.7%Frequent mental distress
18.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montgomery Square
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.1% against 15.2% nationally. At $3,501 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Potomac commands.
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701206?
Census tract 24031701206 in the Montgomery Square neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701206?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701206?
2.0% of residents in tract 24031701206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 44th, minority 60th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701206 considered part of Montgomery Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701206 fall within Montgomery Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701206 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701206 compare to Potomac overall?
Tract 24031701206 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Potomac at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Potomac eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Potomac
Top eight tracts in Potomac ranked by composite eviction-risk score.