Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Bells Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Potomac
Tract 24031706010 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 24031706010 sits in the Bells Mill area of Potomac eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 3,005 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 10%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,076
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$200,278
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bells Mill
Moderate
Within parent city
22th percentile
#8 of 10 tracts In Potomac
Low
Within county
20th percentile
#187 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
39th percentile
#893 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Potomac and the region
Centroid at 39.0255, -77.1669 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bells Mill scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Potomac
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Potomac
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
How Bells Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
2%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.0%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
3.7%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
9.9%Frequent mental distress
18.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bells Mill
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Disability prevalence runs 18.8% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0.
Housing insecurity runs 6.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031706010
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031706010?
Census tract 24031706010 in the Bells Mill neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031706010?
2.2% of residents in tract 24031706010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031706010?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 92th, minority 64th, housing 9th.
Q4
Is tract 24031706010 considered part of Bells Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031706010 fall within Bells Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 24031706010 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24031706010 compare to Potomac overall?
Tract 24031706010 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Potomac at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Potomac eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Potomac
Top eight tracts in Potomac ranked by composite eviction-risk score.