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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Bells Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Potomac

Tract 24031706010 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 24031706010, home to 3,005 residents in the Bells Mill area of Potomac, scores 6.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $200,278 a year. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 10% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,076
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$200,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bells Mill
Moderate
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 10 tracts In Potomac
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#214 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#1,348 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Potomac and the region

Centroid at 39.0255, -77.1669 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bells Mill scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Potomac
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Potomac
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Potomac
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Potomac
3.7

How Bells Mill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bells Mill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 706010Potomac: 6.06.0Potomacparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bells Mill

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 5.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Potomac eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031706010

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031706010?

Census tract 24031706010 in the Bells Mill neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031706010?

2.2% of residents in tract 24031706010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031706010?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 92th, minority 64th, housing 9th.
Q4

Is tract 24031706010 considered part of Bells Mill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031706010 fall within Bells Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 24031706010 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 24031706010 compare to Potomac overall?

Tract 24031706010 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Potomac at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Potomac eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Potomac

Top eight tracts in Potomac ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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