Avenel Eviction Risk: High , Adelphi

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.1/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 26.5% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 4,235 eviction filings across 4 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 124.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 102.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.