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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Avenel Eviction Risk: High , Adelphi

Tract 24033805907 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 3,566 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24033805907 covers part of the Avenel area of Adelphi, MD, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,566 residents. It sits 3.1 points above the Prince George's County average of 4.9.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 27% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,273
Renter share68.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$51,979

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Avenel
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Adelphi
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Adelphi and the region

Centroid at 39.0049, -76.9785 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avenel scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Adelphi
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,539 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Adelphi
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Adelphi
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Adelphi
7.7

How Avenel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avenel risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 8059076.6Adelphiparent city4.9Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,059Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 35.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 41.7%Peak (2011)
  • 259Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 24033805907
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avenel

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Prince George's County average of 45.6%.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.1/10.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $51,979, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 34.8% against 17.8% nationally.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,059 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,539 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Adelphi commands. The worst year on record was 2011, when 41.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 35.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033805907

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033805907?

Census tract 24033805907 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033805907?

Median gross rent is $1,539/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033805907?

17.6% of residents in tract 24033805907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,566.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033805907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 67th, minority 97th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 24033805907 considered part of Avenel?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033805907 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033805907?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,059 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033805907 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.78% of renter households, peaking at 41.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033805907 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033805907 compare to Adelphi overall?

Tract 24033805907 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Adelphi at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Adelphi; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Adelphi

Top eight tracts in Adelphi ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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