1 census tracts · pop 3,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10
· range 7.4–7.4
Ducat Town is a one-tract neighborhood of East Riverdale, MD, population 3,837. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a East Riverdale baseline of 31.7%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity affects 45.3% of adults, 27.5 points above the national rate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 35.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 3,332 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 282.4% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 196.0% in 2016 against a 282.4% peak. For a like-for-like read, Riverdale Hills and Springbrook Terrace score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,763, close to the East Riverdale average.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ducat Town vs East RiverdaleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority97%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Ducat Town
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,332Total filings (sum)
233.73%Avg annual filing rate
282.4%Peak year (2011)
195.98%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ducat Town
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
35.7%Housing insecurity
20.0%Utility shutoff threat
45.3%Food insecurity
33.8%SNAP enrollment
37.1%No health insurance
38.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Ducat Town
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Ducat Town?
Ducat Town scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Ducat Town compare to East Riverdale overall?
Ducat Town scores 1.4 points higher than East Riverdale overall (6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,763 vs $1,716.
Q3
What is the average rent in Ducat Town?
Average gross rent in Ducat Town is $1,763/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Ducat Town residents are renters?
55% of Ducat Town households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in East Riverdale). The neighborhood has 3,837 residents.
Q5
Is Ducat Town a high social-vulnerability area?
Ducat Town sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Ducat Town for landlords?
Ducat Town carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Riverdale as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Ducat Town?
Ducat Town has 4,196 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
