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Neighborhood · Forestville, MD

Forest Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,301 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.6–5.9

Forest Manor is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Forestville with 3 census tracts and a population of 9,301 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,661/month sits 3% lower than the Forestville citywide average ($1,719).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Manor vs Forestville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.7% +76%
Forestville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,661 -3%
Forestville: $1,719
Average HH income
$68,388 -15%
Forestville: $80,028
Poverty rate
15.5% +52%
Forestville: 10.2%
Renter share
60.0% +69%
Forestville: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.6–5.9

Why Forest Manor scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 5.8–7.9 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.9 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 4.2–9.7 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.8 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
15.5% below poverty line · Range 2.8–4.4 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–2.7 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Forest Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Forest Manor: 5.45.4Forest ManorNeighborhoodParent city: 6.56.5Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Forest Manor?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 4.6 to 5.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Forest Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033802106 5.9 5,495 61% $1,701
24033801906 4.9 1,785 41% $1,793
24033802104 4.6 2,021 62% $1,435
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Manor

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21,500Total filings (sum)
  • 341.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 486.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 281.97%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Manor?

Forest Manor scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Manor compare to Forestville overall?

Forest Manor scores 1.1 points lower than Forestville overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,661 vs $1,719.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Manor?

Average gross rent in Forest Manor is $1,661/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Manor residents are renters?

60% of Forest Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Forestville). The neighborhood has 9,301 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Manor sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Forest Manor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Forest Manor is census tract 24033802106 (score 5.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.9, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Forest Manor for landlords?

Forest Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Forestville as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Manor?

Forest Manor has 8,684 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (77.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Forestville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Manor.

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