Forest Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate
3 census tracts · pop 9,301 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4.8–6.5
Forest Manor is a 3-tract neighborhood of Forestville, MD and houses 9,301 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Forestville rate of 32.8%.
33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.8 to 6.5, a 1.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 21,500 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.
15.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 486.5% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 276.3% in 2016, is well off that peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Forest Manor and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.8–6.5
Why Forest Manor scores 5.3
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyForest Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Forest Manor?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
3 tracts in Forest Manor
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24033801906 | 6.5 | 1,785 | 41% | $1,793 |
| 24033802104 | 5.4 | 2,021 | 62% | $1,435 |
| 24033802106 | 4.8 | 5,495 | 61% | $1,701 |
CDC SVI percentile: 74
Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Forest Manor
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21,500Total filings (sum)
- 341.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 486.5%Peak year (2014)
- 281.97%Latest filed (2016)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Manor
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility shutoff threat
- 29.0%Food insecurity
- 22.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 29.5%Any disability
About Forest Manor
How does Forest Manor compare to Forestville overall?
What is the average rent in Forest Manor?
What percentage of Forest Manor residents are renters?
Is Forest Manor a high social-vulnerability area?
Which tracts in Forest Manor have the highest eviction risk?
How safe is Forest Manor for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Manor?
Other neighborhoods near Forest Manor
Other neighborhoods inside Forestville
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Manor.