Bellemead Eviction Risk: Lower

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.4/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 27.3% of adults, 9.5 points above the national rate. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 3.8% of renter households.

The voucher gap is 11.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for roughly one in three of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.2% in 2016, is well off that peak.

At 7% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,573, close to the Landover Hills average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.