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California, Maryland eviction risk overview
City brief · 13,136 residents

California, MD Eviction Risk: HIGH

St. Mary's County · Population 13,136

In 2026
Risk score
7.5
HIGH

61th percentile, Maryland.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.3 Average2.9 Now7.5
10 5 1976 · score 1.3 1977 · score 1.3 1978 · score 1.3 1979 · score 1.4 1980 · score 1.5 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.6 1983 · score 1.5 1984 · score 1.5 1985 · score 1.5 1986 · score 1.5 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.6 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.7 1992 · score 1.9 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.9 1995 · score 2.0 1996 · score 2.1 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.2 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.5 2001 · score 2.6 2002 · score 2.7 2003 · score 2.8 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.6 2006 · score 2.7 2007 · score 2.8 2008 · score 3.4 2009 · score 3.5 2010 · score 3.6 2011 · score 3.7 2012 · score 3.7 2013 · score 3.8 2014 · score 3.9 2015 · score 4.0 2016 · score 4.0 2017 · score 4.2 2018 · score 4.3 2019 · score 4.5 2020 · score 5.3 2021 · score 5.3 2022 · score 5.3 2023 · score 5.4 2024 · score 5.2 2025 · score 6.3 2026 · score 7.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.9 Regional 4.9 State 5.7 Economic 3.8 Supply 8.3 Rent Control 3.7 Eviction 5.8 Tenant 7.6 Housing 3.4 7.5 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +17.2% (2024)
    4.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.9
  3. State political climate
    Maryland legislature & governorship
    5.7
  4. Economic stress
    4.9% poverty · 2.7% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,927 average · 37.1% renters
    8.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    23.8% of income on rent
    3.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    135 days filing → judgment
    5.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    37.1% renters
    7.6
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.4
Geographic context

Risk heat across California and the region

Click any city to see its score

How California compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in St. Mary's County
Very High
#2 of 13 cities
Rank in county, 92nd percentileBottomTop
#2 of 13 cities in St. Mary's County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Maryland
Elevated
#214 of 532 cities
Rank in state, 60th percentileBottomTop
#214 of 532 cities in Maryland for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
California risk score vs. county / state / U.S.California: 7.57.5CaliforniaThis cityCounty: 7.37.3Countyavg in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.5
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.5/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+6.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 135d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,927/mo. A contested eviction takes 135 days and costs $5,312-$14,581 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 37.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 13,136 residents, 37.1% rent. 24% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 4.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.9 and 4.9 (GOP margin +17.2% (2024)). State climate at 5.7, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.8, housing court bias 3.4, rent-control risk 3.7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 8.3. The numbers behind those: 4.9% poverty, 2.7% unemployment, 24% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

California sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Waldorf, MD · 143d · ~$12.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 7.5 Waldorf Bowie, MD · 143d · ~$12.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 7.7 Bowie Baltimore, MD · 147d · ~$11.8k all-in ($80/day) · score 8.5 Baltimore Columbia, MD · 136d · ~$11.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.7 Columbia Germantown, MD · 153d · ~$11.8k all-in ($77/day) · score 8 Germantown Frederick, MD · 147d · ~$10.1k all-in ($69/day) · score 6.9 Frederick Silver Spring, MD · 147d · ~$11.0k all-in ($75/day) · score 8 Silver Spring Ellicott City, MD · 143d · ~$11.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 7.3 Ellicott City Glen Burnie, MD · 157d · ~$11.7k all-in ($75/day) · score 7.9 Glen Burnie Gaithersburg, MD · 145d · ~$10.8k all-in ($74/day) · score 8.2 Gaithersburg Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle California
California · 135d · ~$9.9k all-in ($74/day) · score 7.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in California, MD

Landlording in California, Maryland, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

California is a city of 13,136 residents where 37.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 23.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,927/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How California eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in California closes 135 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of California's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.4/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in California runs $5,312 to $14,581 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 135 days of typical timeline and $1,927/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.6/10 in California, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Maryland, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in California: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Maryland's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $14,581 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in California

Trap · 3.4/10
For landlords, the 6.3/10 score is most actionable when combined with St. Mary's County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 3.4/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for any reason in California, MD?

Maryland does not have a statewide "just cause" eviction law, meaning for month-to-month leases or at the end of a fixed-term lease, you generally don't need a specific reason beyond proper notice (like a 60-day no-cause termination). However, you cannot evict for discriminatory reasons or in retaliation for a tenant exercising their rights. Always follow the specific notice requirements.

Q2

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I serve the 10-day notice?

Accepting partial payment after issuing a 10-day pay-or-quit notice can complicate your case. In some instances, it might waive your right to evict based on that specific notice. If you accept a partial payment, you might need to issue a new notice for the remaining balance or consult an attorney on how to proceed without jeopardizing your case. Be very careful here.

Q3

Is there rent control in California, MD?

No, there is no rent control in California, MD, or anywhere else in Maryland at the statewide or local level. Landlords are generally free to set rent prices and increase them with proper notice, as long as it's not discriminatory or retaliatory. You can learn more about this in our Maryland rent control rules guide.

Q4

Do I have to accept Section 8 or other housing vouchers?

Yes, Maryland has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to a tenant solely because they use a housing voucher (like Section 8) or another lawful source of income. You must apply your screening criteria equally to all applicants. Review Maryland tenant protections for full details.

Q5

What's the biggest mistake landlords make during an eviction?

The biggest mistake is failing to follow the legal process exactly. This includes improper notice, missing deadlines, or attempting "self-help" evictions (like changing locks or shutting off utilities). Any deviation can lead to your case being dismissed, costing you more time and money, and potentially facing legal action from the tenant.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.5/10 places California in the 61st percentile of Maryland cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.