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Newton, Massachusetts eviction risk overview
Ranked #643 of 1,865 nationally

Newton, MA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Middlesex County · Population 89,044

In 2026
Risk score
5.6
ELEVATED

29th percentile, Massachusetts.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.2 Average3.9 Now5.6
7.1 2.2 1976 · score 2.9 1977 · score 2.8 1978 · score 2.8 1979 · score 2.7 1980 · score 2.7 1981 · score 2.7 1982 · score 2.8 1983 · score 2.6 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.4 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.2 1988 · score 2.6 1989 · score 2.7 1990 · score 2.8 1991 · score 3.0 1992 · score 3.4 1993 · score 3.3 1994 · score 3.5 1995 · score 3.3 1996 · score 3.8 1997 · score 3.9 1998 · score 3.9 1999 · score 4.0 2000 · score 4.0 2001 · score 4.0 2002 · score 4.0 2003 · score 4.0 2004 · score 4.0 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 4.0 2007 · score 4.1 2008 · score 4.1 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.4 2012 · score 4.3 2013 · score 4.3 2014 · score 4.3 2015 · score 4.3 2016 · score 4.8 2017 · score 4.9 2018 · score 5.0 2019 · score 5.1 2020 · score 7.0 2021 · score 7.1 2022 · score 6.1 2023 · score 5.8 2024 · score 5.9 2025 · score 5.7 2026 · score 5.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.1 Regional 7.1 State 6.2 Economic 4.1 Supply 8.0 Rent Control 4.8 Eviction 5.9 Tenant 6.3 Housing 3.9 5.6 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +39.5% (2024)
    7.1
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.1
  3. State political climate
    Massachusetts legislature & governorship
    6.2
  4. Economic stress
    4.7% poverty · 3.3% unemp.
    4.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,370 average · 30.0% renters
    8.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    27.2% of income on rent
    4.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    200 days filing → judgment
    5.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    30.0% renters
    6.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newton and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Newton compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Middlesex County
Very Low
#31 of 35 cities
Rank in county, 12th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 35 cities in Middlesex County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Massachusetts
Low
#191 of 248 cities
Rank in state, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#191 of 248 cities in Massachusetts for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Newton risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Newton: 5.65.6NewtonThis cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.6
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 200d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,370/mo. A contested eviction takes 200 days and costs $12,414–$25,463 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 30.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 89,044 residents, 30.0% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 4.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.1
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.1 and 7.1 (Dem margin +39.5% (2024)). State climate at 6.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.9, housing court bias 3.9, rent-control risk 4.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.1. Supply constraint: 8. The numbers behind those: 4.7% poverty, 3.3% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Newton sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Worcester, MA · 184d · ~$19.8k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.4 Worcester Cambridge, MA · 212d · ~$19.8k all-in ($93/day) · score 7.1 Cambridge Lowell, MA · 198d · ~$19.9k all-in ($101/day) · score 6.1 Lowell Brockton, MA · 207d · ~$19.7k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Brockton Quincy, MA · 216d · ~$18.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.2 Quincy Lynn, MA · 195d · ~$20.6k all-in ($106/day) · score 6 Lynn New Bedford, MA · 210d · ~$18.3k all-in ($87/day) · score 6.6 New Bedford Fall River, MA · 186d · ~$19.7k all-in ($106/day) · score 6 Fall River Lawrence, MA · 188d · ~$17.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Lawrence Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Newton
Newton · 200d · ~$18.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 5.6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Newton, MA

Landlording in Newton, Massachusetts, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.6/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Newton is a city of 89,044 residents where 30.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 27.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,370/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Newton eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Newton closes 200 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Newton's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Newton runs $12,414 to $25,463 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 200 days of typical timeline and $2,370/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.3/10 in Newton, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Massachusetts, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Newton: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Massachusetts's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $25,463 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Newton

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 200 days and roughly $25,463 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $10,185 to $15,277 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under MGL 239 + Housing Court.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Newton for any reason?

No, not for "any" reason. While Massachusetts doesn't have statewide just-cause eviction, you still need a legal reason like non-payment of rent, lease violations, or the end of a lease term (with proper notice). You can't evict someone for discriminatory reasons or in retaliation.

Q2

How long does a tenant have to pay rent after it's due in Newton?

There's no statutory "grace period" for rent in Massachusetts. Rent is due on the date specified in the lease. However, you cannot issue a 14-day pay-or-quit notice until the rent is actually past due. Most landlords typically wait a few days after the due date before issuing the formal notice.

Q3

Can I turn off utilities if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. This is considered an illegal "self-help" eviction and carries severe penalties in Massachusetts, including significant fines and potential criminal charges. You must follow the legal eviction process through the courts, no matter how frustrating the situation.

Q4

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Newton?

While you are legally allowed to represent yourself, it is highly recommended to hire an attorney for an eviction in Newton, especially given the complexity of Massachusetts law and the tenant-friendly court system. A mistake can cost you months and thousands of dollars. It's an investment that pays off.

Q5

What if my tenant claims there are issues with the property?

If a tenant raises habitability issues, especially in response to an eviction notice, the court may consider these claims. Ensure your property is well-maintained and address repair requests promptly and in writing. If a tenant can prove you failed to maintain the property, it could be a defense against eviction for non-payment.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.6/10 places Newton in the 29th percentile of Massachusetts cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.