Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Springfield Railroad District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25013812300 · Hampden County, MA · pop 5,026 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 25013812300 covers part of the Downtown Springfield Railroad District area of West Springfield Town, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,026. SNAP participation runs 40.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 31% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units2,300

Renter share70.6%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate21.6%

Median income$39,011

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0970, -72.6140 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Springfield Railroad District scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

21.6% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,151 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

5.7

How Downtown Springfield Railroad District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Springfield Railroad District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.0%Housing insecurity
17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
31.3%Food insecurity
40.7%SNAP enrollment
16.7%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
23.4%Frequent mental distress
41.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Springfield Railroad District

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $39,011 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Hampden County at 46.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 31.3% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013812300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013812300?

Census tract 25013812300 in the Downtown Springfield Railroad District neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013812300?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013812300?

21.6% of residents in tract 25013812300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,026.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013812300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 68th, minority 54th, housing 82th.

Is tract 25013812300 considered part of Downtown Springfield Railroad District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013812300 fall within Downtown Springfield Railroad District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013812300 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013812300 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013812300 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.