Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Springfield Railroad District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25013801102 · Hampden County, MA · pop 1,282 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 25013801102 sits in the Downtown Springfield Railroad District area of Springfield eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 1,282. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 54% Owners 1%

Tract context

Occupied units672

Renter share98.7%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate24.7%

Median income$58,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0979, -72.5853 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Springfield Railroad District scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

24.7% poverty · this tract

6.2

Supply constraint

$1,496 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Downtown Springfield Railroad District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Springfield Railroad District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.5%Housing insecurity
15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
29.5%Food insecurity
34.2%SNAP enrollment
15.7%Transit barriers
12.9%No health insurance
20.8%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Springfield Railroad District

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,496, 31% above the Springfield average. It sits 1.9 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8.

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 29.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801102?

Census tract 25013801102 in the Downtown Springfield Railroad District neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013801102?

Median gross rent is $1,496/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801102?

24.7% of residents in tract 25013801102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,282.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 58th, minority 85th, housing 86th.

Is tract 25013801102 considered part of Downtown Springfield Railroad District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801102 fall within Downtown Springfield Railroad District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013801102 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013801102 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801102 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.