Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Bemis Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25017370103 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,506 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 25017370103 sits in the Bemis area of Middlesex County, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. Population here is 3,506. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,552
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$108,258
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region
Centroid at 42.3684, -71.1879 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bemis scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,107 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Bemis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 97%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bemis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bemis
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Watertown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 6.3 closely.
Average gross rent runs $2,107 a month. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $108,258.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017370103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017370103?
Census tract 25017370103 in the Bemis neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017370103?
Median gross rent is $2,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017370103?
8.7% of residents in tract 25017370103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,506.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017370103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 38th, minority 55th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 25017370103 considered part of Bemis?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017370103 fall within Bemis (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25017370103 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 25017370103 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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