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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Bemis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017370403 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 1,919 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 25017370403 covers part of the Bemis area of Middlesex County, MA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,919. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 32% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units973
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$125,542

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Bemis
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 10 tracts In city
Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#228 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#991 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.3624, -71.1874 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bemis scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,705 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Bemis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bemis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 3704036.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bemis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bemis

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.1% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Newton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017370403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017370403?

Census tract 25017370403 in the Bemis neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017370403?

Median gross rent is $2,705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017370403?

3.8% of residents in tract 25017370403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,919.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017370403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 11th, minority 42th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 25017370403 considered part of Bemis?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017370403 fall within Bemis (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25017370403 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

Was tract 25017370403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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