Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017336201 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 2,881

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 25017336201 in Melrose, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $3,278, 66% above the Melrose average.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 8% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,227
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$184,923

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Melrose
Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#249 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,016 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose and the region

Centroid at 42.4684, -71.0528 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Melrose
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,278 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Melrose
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Melrose
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Melrose
4.3

How Melrose compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 3362015.9Melroseparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. The voucher gap is 15.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Melrose. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017336201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017336201?

Census tract 25017336201 in Melrose scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017336201?

Median gross rent is $3,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017336201?

4.9% of residents in tract 25017336201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,881.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017336201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 27th, minority 9th, housing 11th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 25017336201 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 25017336201 compare to Melrose overall?

Tract 25017336201 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Melrose at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Melrose eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 25017336201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Melrose

Top eight tracts in Melrose ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related