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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Mount Auburn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Belmont

Tract 25017370301 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,374 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

25017370301 is a census tract in the Mount Auburn area of Middlesex County, MA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,374 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 31% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,981
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$123,983

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Mount Auburn
Very High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 tracts In Belmont
Elevated
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#218 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#940 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Belmont and the region

Centroid at 42.3715, -71.1501 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mount Auburn scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Belmont
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,370 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belmont
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belmont
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belmont
5.0

How Mount Auburn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mount Auburn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 3703016.1Belmontparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mount Auburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mount Auburn

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.7/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017370301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017370301?

Census tract 25017370301 in the Mount Auburn neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017370301?

Median gross rent is $2,370/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017370301?

6.9% of residents in tract 25017370301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,374.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017370301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 55th, minority 42th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 25017370301 considered part of Mount Auburn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017370301 fall within Mount Auburn (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25017370301 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25017370301 compare to Belmont overall?

Tract 25017370301 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Belmont at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belmont; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25017370301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belmont

Top eight tracts in Belmont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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