Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Magoun Square Eviction Risk: High , Somerville
Tract 25017350300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 2,868 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 8.3/10, tract 25017350300 in the Magoun Square area of Somerville, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,868. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,389
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$124,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3952, -71.1063 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magoun Square scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,750 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Magoun Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2015)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magoun Square
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $2,750, 9% above the Somerville average.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350300?
Census tract 25017350300 in the Magoun Square neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350300?
Median gross rent is $2,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350300?
14.4% of residents in tract 25017350300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,868.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 2th, minority 50th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350300 considered part of Magoun Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350300 fall within Magoun Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017350300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017350300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.27% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017350300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017350300 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350300 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017350300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts
7.9
/ 10 · High
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