Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

South Medford Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25017339600 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,338 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

25017339600 is a census tract in the South Medford area of Medford, MA. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 44% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,150
Renter share63.1%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$136,040

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In South Medford
Very Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In Medford
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#157 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#766 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.4031, -71.1096 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Medford scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,834 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
4.6

How South Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.2This tracttract 3396006.6Medfordparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.0%Peak (2015)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017339600
Filings climbed 83% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Medford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Medford

31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 50 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally. At $2,834 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Medford commands.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Somerville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017339600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017339600?

Census tract 25017339600 in the South Medford neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017339600?

Median gross rent is $2,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017339600?

8.5% of residents in tract 25017339600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,338.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017339600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 3th, minority 55th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 25017339600 considered part of South Medford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017339600 fall within South Medford (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017339600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017339600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.79% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017339600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25017339600 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25017339600 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 25017339600 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25017339600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related