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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Chelmsford Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25017317101 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,516 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 25017317101 covers part of the Chelmsford Center Historic District area of Middlesex County, MA, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 15% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units3,029
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$103,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Chelmsford Center Historic District
Very High
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#161 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#788 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.5865, -71.3694 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chelmsford Center Historic District scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,955 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Chelmsford Center Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chelmsford Center Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 3171016.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 196Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2016)
  • 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017317101
Filings climbed 32% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chelmsford Center Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chelmsford Center Historic District

Cost burden runs 57% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Court records carry 196 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017317101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317101?

Census tract 25017317101 in the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017317101?

Median gross rent is $1,955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317101?

7.5% of residents in tract 25017317101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,516.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 36th, minority 36th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 25017317101 considered part of Chelmsford Center Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317101 fall within Chelmsford Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 196 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017317101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017317101 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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