Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Chelmsford Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25017317101 ·
Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,516 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 25017317101 covers the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood of Middlesex in Massachusetts. Home to 6,516 residents, it scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #48,508 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,955 monthly, set against $103,808 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 15%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units3,029
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$103,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Chelmsford Center Historic District
Very High
Within county
55th percentile
#160 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
38th percentile
#1,003 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
National
21th percentile
#66,742 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region
Centroid at 42.5865, -71.3694 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chelmsford Center Historic District scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,955 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Chelmsford Center Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
40%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
196Total filings over 5 yrs
5.97%Avg annual filing rate
5.5%Peak (2016)
49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2012 to 2016
Filings climbed 32% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chelmsford Center Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.8%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
3.6%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chelmsford Center Historic District
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Massachusetts eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 196 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017317101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317101?
Census tract 25017317101 in the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017317101?
Median gross rent is $1,955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317101?
7.5% of residents in tract 25017317101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,516.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 36th, minority 36th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 25017317101 considered part of Chelmsford Center Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317101 fall within Chelmsford Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 196 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017317101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017317101 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.