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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Old Ship Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Medford

Tract 25017339804 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 2,799 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 25017339804 in the Old Ship Street Historic District area of Medford, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,799. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 28% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$118,482

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Old Ship Street Historic District
Low
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 14 tracts In Medford
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#788 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.4113, -71.0809 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Ship Street Historic District scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,163 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
4.6

How Old Ship Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Ship Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 3398046.6Medfordparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Ship Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Ship Street Historic District

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $2,163, 14% below the Medford average. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Medford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017339804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017339804?

Census tract 25017339804 in the Old Ship Street Historic District neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017339804?

Median gross rent is $2,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017339804?

1.7% of residents in tract 25017339804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,799.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017339804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 40th, minority 61th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 25017339804 considered part of Old Ship Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017339804 fall within Old Ship Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25017339804 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017339804 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017339804 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 25017339804 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017339804 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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