Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Wilmington
Tract 25017331101 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,203 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
25017331101 is a census tract in the Avalon Oaks area of Wilmington, MA. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,203. It sits 2.6 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,189
Renter share20.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$168,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 42.5856, -71.1540 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon Oaks scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,051 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.9
How Avalon Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 51Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avalon Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 3.1%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon Oaks
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $3,051 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Wilmington commands. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 43.0% across Middlesex County. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 51 filings here across 5 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2013, when 6.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017331101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017331101?
Census tract 25017331101 in the Avalon Oaks neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017331101?
Median gross rent is $3,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017331101?
1.8% of residents in tract 25017331101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,203.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017331101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 21th, minority 28th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 25017331101 considered part of Avalon Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017331101 fall within Avalon Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017331101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017331101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017331101 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017331101 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 25017331101 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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