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Neighborhood · Wilmington, MA

Avalon Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,857 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.7

Avalon Oaks takes in 2 census tracts of Wilmington, MA, population 8,857. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Wilmington rate of 32.1%.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Average gross rent is $2,859, 19% above the Wilmington average of $2,394. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10. Court records carry 88 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

3.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 7.7% of adults, 10.1 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 6.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.8% in 2016, is well off that peak.

At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $162,157.

With little internal variation, 3.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Avalon Oaks vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.1% +59%
Wilmington: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$2,859 +19%
Wilmington: $2,394
Average HH income
$162,157 +0%
Wilmington: $161,473
Poverty rate
2.0% -34%
Wilmington: 3.0%
Renter share
14.2% +19%
Wilmington: 12.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avalon Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–3.7

Why Avalon Oaks scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–5.8 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Avalon Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Avalon Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6Avalon OaksNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Avalon Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017331101 3.7 3,203 34% $3,051
25017331200 3.6 5,654 61% $2,750
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 19%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Avalon Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings (sum)
  • 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 2.48%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Avalon Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Avalon Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Avalon Oaks?

Avalon Oaks scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Avalon Oaks compare to Wilmington overall?

Avalon Oaks scores 1.0 points lower than Wilmington overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,859 vs $2,394.
Q3

What is the average rent in Avalon Oaks?

Average gross rent in Avalon Oaks is $2,859/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Avalon Oaks residents are renters?

14% of Avalon Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 12% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 8,857 residents.
Q5

Is Avalon Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Avalon Oaks sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Avalon Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Avalon Oaks is census tract 25017331101 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 3.7, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Avalon Oaks for landlords?

Avalon Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Avalon Oaks?

Avalon Oaks has 8,998 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

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