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Neighborhood · Wilmington, MA

Avalon Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,857 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.1/10 · range 1.1–1.1

Avalon Oaks is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Wilmington with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,857 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,859/month sits 19% higher than the Wilmington citywide average ($2,394).

Risk score
1.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Avalon Oaks vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.1% +59%
Wilmington: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$2,859 +19%
Wilmington: $2,394
Average HH income
$162,157 +0%
Wilmington: $161,473
Poverty rate
2.0% -34%
Wilmington: 3.0%
Renter share
14.2% +19%
Wilmington: 12.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avalon Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.1–1.1

Why Avalon Oaks scores 1.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–5.8 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Avalon Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Avalon Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Avalon Oaks: 1.11.1Avalon OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 5.85.8Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Avalon Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017331200 1.1 5,654 61% $2,750
25017331101 1.1 3,203 34% $3,051
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 19%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Avalon Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings (sum)
  • 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 2.48%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Avalon Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Avalon Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Avalon Oaks?

Avalon Oaks scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Avalon Oaks compare to Wilmington overall?

Avalon Oaks scores 4.7 points lower than Wilmington overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,859 vs $2,394.
Q3

What is the average rent in Avalon Oaks?

Average gross rent in Avalon Oaks is $2,859/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Avalon Oaks residents are renters?

14% of Avalon Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 12% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 8,857 residents.
Q5

Is Avalon Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Avalon Oaks sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Avalon Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Avalon Oaks is census tract 25017331200 (score 1.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 1.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Avalon Oaks for landlords?

Avalon Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Avalon Oaks?

Avalon Oaks has 8,998 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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