Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,519 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Wilmington
Tract 25017331200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,654 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 25017331200 sits in the Avalon Oaks area of Wilmington, Massachusetts eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,750 a month while the average household earns $158,422 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,929
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$158,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 42.5740, -71.1825 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon Oaks scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,750 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.9
How Avalon Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000-2018)
- 37Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2013)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avalon Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 3.3%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon Oaks
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.0% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017331200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017331200?
Census tract 25017331200 in the Avalon Oaks neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017331200?
Median gross rent is $2,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017331200?
2.1% of residents in tract 25017331200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,654.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017331200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 14th, minority 14th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 25017331200 considered part of Avalon Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017331200 fall within Avalon Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017331200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017331200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.98% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017331200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017331200 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 25017331200 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Wilmington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related