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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Avalon Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Wilmington

Tract 25017331200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,654 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

25017331200 is a census tract in the Avalon Oaks area of Wilmington, MA. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 61% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,929
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$158,422

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Avalon Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Wilmington
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#342 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#1,504 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 42.5740, -71.1825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avalon Oaks scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,750 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.9

How Avalon Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avalon Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 3312004.6Wilmingtonparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2013)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017331200
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avalon Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avalon Oaks

It sits 2.7 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 37 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $2,750 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Wilmington commands.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.3% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017331200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017331200?

Census tract 25017331200 in the Avalon Oaks neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017331200?

Median gross rent is $2,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017331200?

2.1% of residents in tract 25017331200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,654.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017331200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 14th, minority 14th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 25017331200 considered part of Avalon Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017331200 fall within Avalon Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017331200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017331200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.98% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017331200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017331200 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 25017331200 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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