Neighborhood · Ranked #30,697 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgemere Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winchester

Tract 25017338300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,396 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Wedgemere Historic District area of Winchester anchors census tract 25017338300, which lands at 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,336 monthly, set against $213,611 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 14% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units1,354

Renter share29.2%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate3.3%

Median income$213,611

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 42.4584, -71.1497 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgemere Historic District scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winchester

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

3.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,336 rent vs county FMR

6.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winchester

3.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winchester

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winchester

3.1

How Wedgemere Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

18%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

14%Grade A
42%Grade B
7%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

12Total filings over 5 yrs
0.75%Avg annual filing rate
0.9%Peak (2012)
2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgemere Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
6.2%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
2.5%No health insurance
12.6%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgemere Historic District

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017338300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017338300?

Census tract 25017338300 in the Wedgemere Historic District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017338300?

Median gross rent is $3,336/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017338300?

3.3% of residents in tract 25017338300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,396.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017338300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 68th, minority 24th, housing 62th.

Is tract 25017338300 considered part of Wedgemere Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017338300 fall within Wedgemere Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017338300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017338300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.75% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017338300 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017338300 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 25017338300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25017338300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.