Neighborhood · Ranked #40,134 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgemere Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winchester

Tract 25017338500 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,868 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 25017338500 runs through the Wedgemere Historic District area of Winchester. With 5,868 residents, it scores 4.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 23% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $250,001 a year. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,858

Renter share11.5%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate6.4%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 42.4477, -71.1286 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgemere Historic District scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winchester

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

6.4% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winchester

3.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winchester

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winchester

3.1

How Wedgemere Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

5%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
50%Grade B
2%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

9Total filings over 4 yrs
0.89%Avg annual filing rate
1.1%Peak (2012)
1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 67% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgemere Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
2.4%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
21.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgemere Historic District

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017338500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017338500?

Census tract 25017338500 in the Wedgemere Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017338500?

6.4% of residents in tract 25017338500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,868.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017338500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 9th, minority 27th, housing 18th.

Is tract 25017338500 considered part of Wedgemere Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017338500 fall within Wedgemere Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017338500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 25017338500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017338500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017338500 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 25017338500 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Winchester at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25017338500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.