Wedgemere Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Winchester

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 129 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Winchester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,075, close to the Woburn average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $96,354.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.