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Neighborhood · Needham, MA

Needham Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 17,678 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.8–5.1

Needham Junction is a 3-tract neighborhood of Needham, MA and houses 17,678 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Needham baseline of 33.3%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. 2.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At $2,061 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Needham commands.

SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Greendale Village and Eliot Triangle.

Against average income of $223,239, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Needham Junction vs Needham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.9% +38%
Needham: 33.3%
Average gross rent
$2,061 -14%
Needham: $2,409
Average HH income
$223,239 +5%
Needham: $212,241
Poverty rate
3.2% -15%
Needham: 3.8%
Renter share
13.5% -20%
Needham: 16.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Needham Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.8–5.1

Why Needham Junction scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
3.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–3.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Needham Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Needham Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Needham JunctionNeighborhood5.7Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Needham Junction?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 4.8 to 5.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Needham Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25021403300 5.1 4,483 44% $2,200
25021403400 4.9 7,076 44% $1,721
25021457200 4.8 6,119 50% $2,352
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Needham Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Needham Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Needham Junction?

Needham Junction scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Needham Junction compare to Needham overall?

Needham Junction scores 0.8 points lower than Needham overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,061 vs $2,409.
Q3

What is the average rent in Needham Junction?

Average gross rent in Needham eviction risk Junction is $2,061/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Needham Junction residents are renters?

14% of Needham Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 17% in Needham). The neighborhood has 17,678 residents.
Q5

Is Needham Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Needham Junction sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Needham Junction have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Needham Junction is census tract 25021403300 (score 5.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.1, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Needham Junction for landlords?

Needham eviction risk Junction carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Needham as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Needham Junction?

Needham Junction has 17,581 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.4%), Hispanic / Latino (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Needham Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Needham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Needham Junction.

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