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Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Needham Junction Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25021457200 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 6,119 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Needham Junction in Needham anchors census tract 25021457200, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 68th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,352 a month while the average household earns $215,380 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 8% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,081
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$215,380

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Needham Junction
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Needham
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#153 of 154 tracts In Norfolk County
Very Low
Within state
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#1,612 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Needham and the region

Centroid at 42.2868, -71.2326 · click any tract to drill in

Why Needham Junction scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Needham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,352 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Needham
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Needham
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Needham
5.7

How Needham Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Needham Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 457200Needham: 5.85.8Needhamparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Needham Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Needham Junction

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Needham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021457200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021457200?

Census tract 25021457200 in the Needham Junction neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25021457200?

Median gross rent is $2,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021457200?

1.2% of residents in tract 25021457200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,119.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021457200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 43th, minority 41th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 25021457200 considered part of Needham Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021457200 fall within Needham Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25021457200 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25021457200 compare to Needham overall?

Tract 25021457200 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Needham at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Needham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25021457200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Needham

Top eight tracts in Needham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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