Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #40,134 of 84,120 nationally
Needham Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25021403300 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 4,483 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Needham Junction in Needham anchors census tract 25021403300, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,200 a month while the average household earns $250,001 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,531
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Needham and the region
Centroid at 42.2657, -71.2422 · click any tract to drill in
Why Needham Junction scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Needham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,200 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Needham
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Needham
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Needham
5.7
How Needham Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Needham Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 2.1%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Needham Junction
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Needham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25021403300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021403300?
Census tract 25021403300 in the Needham Junction neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25021403300?
Median gross rent is $2,200/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25021403300?
5.5% of residents in tract 25021403300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,483.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25021403300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 23th, minority 27th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 25021403300 considered part of Needham Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021403300 fall within Needham Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25021403300 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25021403300 compare to Needham overall?
Tract 25021403300 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Needham at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Needham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25021403300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Needham
Top eight tracts in Needham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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