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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Crossing Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025070201 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,242 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 9.5/10, tract 25025070201 in the Downtown Crossing area of Boston, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,242. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 55% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units939
Renter share93.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate40.4%
Median income$38,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Downtown Crossing
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3500, -71.0654 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Crossing scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
40.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Downtown Crossing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Crossing risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0702018.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 28Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.20×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Crossing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Crossing

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

SNAP participation runs 25.9% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 41% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #2,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070201?

Census tract 25025070201 in the Downtown Crossing neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070201?

40.4% of residents in tract 25025070201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,242.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 36th, minority 63th, housing 94th.
Q4

Is tract 25025070201 considered part of Downtown Crossing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070201 fall within Downtown Crossing (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25025070201 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25025070201 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070201 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25025070201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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