Nubian Square Eviction Risk: High , Boston

SNAP participation runs 58.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 48.1% against 17.8% nationally. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $29,962 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.