Within neighborhood
63
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Crossing Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025070302 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,771 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 25025070302 covers part of the Downtown Crossing area of Boston, MA, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,118
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$121,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3500, -71.0694 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Crossing scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$2,061 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Downtown Crossing compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 49%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 25Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Crossing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Crossing
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Suffolk County average of 7.9 closely. Average gross rent is $2,061, close to the Boston average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $121,250.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025070302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070302?
Census tract 25025070302 in the Downtown Crossing neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025070302?
Median gross rent is $2,061/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070302?
21.8% of residents in tract 25025070302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,771.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 23th, minority 45th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 25025070302 considered part of Downtown Crossing?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070302 fall within Downtown Crossing (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025070302 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025070302 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025070302 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025070302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Ashmont
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Bugg Village
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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