Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025120301 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,929 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 25025120301 covers part of the Forest Hills area of Boston, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,929. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$130,246
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3127, -71.1019 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,072 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 65%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 228Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2014)
- 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 75Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 228 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 5.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,072, close to the Boston average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025120301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025120301?
Census tract 25025120301 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025120301?
Median gross rent is $2,072/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025120301?
11.1% of residents in tract 25025120301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,929.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025120301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 20th, minority 69th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 25025120301 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025120301 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025120301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 228 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025120301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.98% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025120301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025120301 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025120301 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025120301 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025120301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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