Within neighborhood
30
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025120103 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,682 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 25025120103 covers part of the Forest Hills area of Boston, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,682 residents. Average gross rent is $3,343, 56% above the Boston average.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share26.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$247,533
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3118, -71.1181 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,343 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 81%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2013)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 3Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 2.2%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 17.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.1% against 31.5% nationally.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The voucher gap is 17.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 1.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025120103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025120103?
Census tract 25025120103 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025120103?
Median gross rent is $3,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025120103?
2.5% of residents in tract 25025120103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025120103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 4th, minority 32th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 25025120103 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025120103 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025120103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 25025120103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.07% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025120103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025120103 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025120103 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025120103 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025120103 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Germantown
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Downtown Crossing
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Mount Ida
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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