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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Germantown Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 14,198 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.4–6.7

Germantown is a white-black neighborhood in Boston with 3 census tracts and a population of 14,198 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,575/month sits 27% lower than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Germantown vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.1% +100%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,575 -27%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$80,292 -15%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
11.3% -33%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
50.6% -21%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.4–6.7

Why Germantown scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
11.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–5.1 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Germantown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Germantown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Germantown: 5.45.4GermantownNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Germantown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 4.4 to 6.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Germantown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025130406 6.7 5,824 69% $1,154
25025130404 4.8 3,108 66% $2,072
25025130402 4.4 5,266 50% $1,747
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Germantown

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,128Total filings (sum)
  • 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 4.71%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 330Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.66×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Germantown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Germantown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Germantown?

Germantown scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Germantown compare to Boston overall?

Germantown scores 1.7 points lower than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,575 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Germantown?

Average gross rent in Germantown is $1,575/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Germantown residents are renters?

51% of Germantown households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 14,198 residents.
Q5

Is Germantown a high social-vulnerability area?

Germantown sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Germantown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Germantown is census tract 25025130406 (score 6.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 6.7, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Germantown for landlords?

Germantown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Germantown?

Germantown has 13,936 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Hispanic / Latino (19.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Germantown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Germantown.

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