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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Germantown Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 14,198 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 6.7–9.5

Germantown takes in 3 census tracts of Boston, MA, population 14,198. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 30.6% citywide, putting Germantown 30.5% over its own city.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 6.7 to 9.5. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. 27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

At $1,575 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Boston commands. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Filings are well documented here: 1,128 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 13.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 57 mapped neighborhoods of Boston, it ranks #29 by risk, the middle third. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $80,292. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Germantown vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.1% +100%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,575 -27%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$80,292 -15%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
11.3% -33%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
50.6% -21%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.7–9.5

Why Germantown scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
11.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–5.1 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Germantown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Germantown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.9GermantownNeighborhood8.1Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Germantown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 6.7 to 9.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Germantown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025130406 9.5 5,824 69% $1,154
25025130404 6.9 3,108 66% $2,072
25025130402 6.7 5,266 50% $1,747
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Germantown

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,128Total filings (sum)
  • 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 4.71%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 330Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.66×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Germantown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Germantown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Germantown?

Germantown scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Germantown compare to Boston overall?

Germantown scores 0.2 points lower than Boston overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,575 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Germantown?

Average gross rent in Germantown is $1,575/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Germantown residents are renters?

51% of Germantown households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 14,198 residents.
Q5

Is Germantown a high social-vulnerability area?

Germantown sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Germantown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Germantown is census tract 25025130406 (score 9.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 9.5, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Germantown for landlords?

Germantown carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Germantown?

Germantown has 13,936 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Hispanic / Latino (19.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Germantown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Germantown.

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