Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Germantown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025130402 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 5,266 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 25025130402 in the Germantown area of Boston, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,266 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,123
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$107,986
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.2720, -71.1668 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,747 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Germantown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 84%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 73Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2012)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Germantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Germantown
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. At $1,747 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Boston commands.
Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 73 evictions over 5 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dedham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025130402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025130402?
Census tract 25025130402 in the Germantown neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025130402?
Median gross rent is $1,747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025130402?
4.3% of residents in tract 25025130402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,266.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025130402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 55th, minority 51th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 25025130402 considered part of Germantown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025130402 fall within Germantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025130402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025130402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025130402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025130402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025130402 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025130402 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025130402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Germantown
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Downtown Crossing
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related