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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Lower Allston Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 4,958 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 6.7–8.8

Lower Allston takes in 2 census tracts of Boston, MA and houses 4,958 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.1/10, High tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 8.8, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for roughly one in three of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. 14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Disability prevalence reaches 18.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $2,444 a month, rents sit 14% over what the rest of Boston commands.

4.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #26 of 57 neighborhoods in Boston. For a like-for-like read, Allston Heights and Fields Corner score within a fraction of it.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.1
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Allston vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.0% +1%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,444 +14%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$106,199 +12%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
17.0% +1%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
68.7% +7%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Allston and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.7–8.8

Why Lower Allston scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
17.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–5.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–4.3 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Lower Allston vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Allston score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.1Lower AllstonNeighborhood8.1Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lower Allston

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025000804 8.8 3,224 32% $2,346
25025000101 6.7 1,734 29% $2,625
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lower Allston

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 62Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Allston

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Allston

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Allston?

Lower Allston scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Allston compare to Boston overall?

Lower Allston scores 0.0 points higher than Boston overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,444 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Allston?

Average gross rent in Lower Allston is $2,444/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Allston residents are renters?

69% of Lower Allston households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 4,958 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Allston a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Allston sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower Allston have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Allston is census tract 25025000804 (score 8.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 8.8, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower Allston for landlords?

Lower Allston carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Allston?

Lower Allston has 4,904 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Allston

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Allston.

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