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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Lower Allston Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,958 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 4.5–6.1

Lower Allston is a diverse neighborhood in Boston with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,958 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 31% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,444/month sits 14% higher than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Allston vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.0% +1%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,444 +14%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$106,199 +12%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
17.0% +1%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
68.7% +7%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Allston and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–6.1

Why Lower Allston scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
17.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–5.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–4.3 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Lower Allston vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Allston score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lower Allston: 5.55.5Lower AllstonNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lower Allston

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025000804 6.1 3,224 32% $2,346
25025000101 4.5 1,734 29% $2,625
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lower Allston

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 62Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Allston

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Allston

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Allston?

Lower Allston scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Allston compare to Boston overall?

Lower Allston scores 1.6 points lower than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,444 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Allston?

Average gross rent in Lower Allston is $2,444/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Allston residents are renters?

69% of Lower Allston households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 4,958 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Allston a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Allston sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower Allston have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Allston is census tract 25025000804 (score 6.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 6.1, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower Allston for landlords?

Lower Allston carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Allston?

Lower Allston has 4,904 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Allston

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Allston.

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