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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Nubian Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

9 census tracts · pop 25,580 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 5.9–7.6

Nubian Square is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Boston with 9 census tracts and a population of 25,580 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,250/month sits 42% lower than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Nubian Square vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.6% +88%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,250 -42%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$48,963 -48%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
29.3% +74%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
75.6% +18%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nubian Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 5.9–7.6

Why Nubian Square scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
29.3% below poverty line · Range 4.2–10.0 across tracts
7.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts
1.1
Risk score comparison

Nubian Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Nubian Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Nubian Square: 7.17.1Nubian SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Nubian Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 5.9 to 7.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Nubian Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025081700 7.6 3,862 50% $661
25025080401 7.6 2,905 58% $969
25025081301 7.6 2,694 44% $845
25025081302 7.6 2,362 60% $1,103
25025080300 7.3 2,059 60% $1,506
25025081400 6.9 3,424 56% $1,586
25025080100 6.8 2,439 51% $1,625
25025081800 6.2 3,117 73% $1,186
25025081500 5.9 2,718 68% $2,034
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Nubian Square

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,237Total filings (sum)
  • 7.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 6.91%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,078Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly observed
  • 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.50×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Nubian Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Nubian Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Nubian Square?

Nubian Square scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Nubian Square compare to Boston overall?

Nubian Square scores 0.0 points higher than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,250 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Nubian Square?

Average gross rent in Nubian Square is $1,250/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Nubian Square residents are renters?

76% of Nubian Square households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 25,580 residents.
Q5

Is Nubian Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Nubian Square sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Nubian Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Nubian Square is census tract 25025081700 (score 7.6/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 7.6, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Nubian Square for landlords?

Nubian Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Nubian Square?

Nubian Square has 25,665 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Hispanic / Latino (32.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Nubian Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Nubian Square.

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