9 census tracts · pop 25,580 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10
· range 8.5–9.5
Nubian Square is a 9-tract neighborhood of Boston, MA and houses 25,580 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.3/10, placing it in the High tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Boston rate of 30.6%.
At $1,250 a month, rents sit 42% under what the rest of Boston commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
This is a renter market: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 28.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity affects 35.4% of adults, 17.6 points above the national rate. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.
Scores across the 9 constituent tracts range from 8.5 to 9.5. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Court records carry 2,237 eviction filings across its 7 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 12.3% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 7.1% in 2016, is well off that peak.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 9.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.3
High
9 tracts · population-weighted
Nubian Square vs BostonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Nubian Square
Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,237Total filings (sum)
7.26%Avg annual filing rate
12.3%Peak year (2015)
6.91%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,078Total filings 2020-21
2.6Avg monthly observed
5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Nubian Square
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
28.2%Housing insecurity
20.2%Utility shutoff threat
34.8%Food insecurity
41.9%SNAP enrollment
11.3%No health insurance
36.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Nubian Square
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Nubian Square?
Nubian Square scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Nubian Square compare to Boston overall?
Nubian Square scores 1.2 points higher than Boston overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,250 vs $2,147.
Q3
What is the average rent in Nubian Square?
Average gross rent in Nubian Square is $1,250/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Nubian Square residents are renters?
76% of Nubian Square households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 25,580 residents.
Q5
Is Nubian Square a high social-vulnerability area?
Nubian Square sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Nubian Square have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Nubian Square is census tract 25025081700 (score 9.5/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.5 to 9.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Nubian Square for landlords?
Nubian Square carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Nubian Square?
Nubian Square has 25,665 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Hispanic / Latino (32.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
