Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Nubian Square Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025080401 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,905 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

25025080401 is a census tract in the Nubian Square area of Boston, MA. It scores 9.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,905. Average gross rent is $969, 55% below the Boston average.

Risk score

9.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 39% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units1,429

Renter share94.9%

SVI overall0.99

Poverty rate31.2%

Median income$32,526

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3321, -71.0809 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nubian Square scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

31.2% poverty · this tract

7.8

Supply constraint

$969 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Boston

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Boston

8.0

How Nubian Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

479Total filings over 5 yrs
8.00%Avg annual filing rate
11.7%Peak (2013)
84Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

144Total filings 2020-21
3.1Avg monthly (observed)
7.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.40×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nubian Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

32.3%Housing insecurity
23.1%Utility-shutoff threat
42.4%Food insecurity
50.8%SNAP enrollment
22.8%Transit barriers
14.0%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nubian Square

SNAP participation runs 50.8% against 15.2% nationally. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 32.3% against 14.2% nationally. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Set annual rent against average income of $32,526 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

The filing record is not thin: 479 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025080401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025080401?

Census tract 25025080401 in the Nubian Square neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25025080401?

Median gross rent is $969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025080401?

31.2% of residents in tract 25025080401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,905.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025080401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 93th, housing 90th.

Is tract 25025080401 considered part of Nubian Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025080401 fall within Nubian Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025080401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 479 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025080401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.00% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25025080401 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025080401 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25025080401 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025080401 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25025080401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org