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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,931 of 84,120 nationally

Packard's Corner Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025000703 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,701 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 25025000703 sits in the Packard's Corner neighborhood of Boston eviction risk, Massachusetts eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,065 monthly, set against $46,985 in average yearly household income, roughly 53% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60% Stable renters 39% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,045
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$46,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Packard's Corner
Very Low
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 206 tracts In Boston
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3513, -71.1282 · click any tract to drill in

Why Packard's Corner scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$2,065 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Packard's Corner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Packard's Corner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.67.6This tracttract 000703Boston: 7.17.1Bostonparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.05.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 141Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.2%Peak (2014)
  • 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250250007032012: 22 filings (2.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2014: 42 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (2.32/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 39Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Packard's Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Packard's Corner

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.2% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025000703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000703?

Census tract 25025000703 in the Packard's Corner neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025000703?

Median gross rent is $2,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000703?

36.5% of residents in tract 25025000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,701.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 3th, minority 60th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 25025000703 considered part of Packard's Corner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000703 fall within Packard's Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025000703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025000703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.86% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025000703 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025000703 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025000703 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025000703 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025000703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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