Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Main South Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027733000 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,888 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 25027733000 sits in the Main South area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,888. SNAP participation runs 37.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 37% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share79.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$52,068

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Main South
Very Low
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 46 tracts In Worcester
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2468, -71.8133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main South scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,427 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Main South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 733000Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2015)
  • 48Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Main South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main South

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $52,068, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 33.2% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 54% here against 44.4% across Worcester County.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10.

Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 1 observed years. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027733000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027733000?

Census tract 25027733000 in the Main South neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027733000?

Median gross rent is $1,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027733000?

25.5% of residents in tract 25027733000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,888.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027733000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 90th, minority 77th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 25027733000 considered part of Main South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027733000 fall within Main South (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027733000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027733000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.10% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027733000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027733000 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027733000 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related