Crown Hill Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $32,600 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 29.5% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,156 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Worcester commands. The filing record is not thin: 117 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.