Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
South Lancaster Eviction Risk: Elevated , Clinton
Tract 25027716200 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,023 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 25027716200 in the South Lancaster area of Clinton, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$77,935
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clinton and the region
Centroid at 42.4261, -71.6880 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lancaster scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clinton
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,232 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clinton
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clinton
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clinton
5.4
How South Lancaster compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2015)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lancaster. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.2%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lancaster
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation. At $1,232 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Clinton commands.
Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027716200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027716200?
Census tract 25027716200 in the South Lancaster neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027716200?
Median gross rent is $1,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027716200?
7.4% of residents in tract 25027716200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,023.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027716200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 26th, minority 38th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 25027716200 considered part of South Lancaster?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027716200 fall within South Lancaster (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027716200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027716200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.84% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027716200 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027716200 compare to Clinton overall?
Tract 25027716200 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Clinton at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clinton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clinton
Top eight tracts in Clinton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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