Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
South Lancaster Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clinton
Tract 25027716101 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,552 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 25027716101 in the South Lancaster area of Worcester County, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 20% here against 44.4% across Worcester County.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$107,386
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clinton and the region
Centroid at 42.4293, -71.6710 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lancaster scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clinton
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clinton
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clinton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clinton
5.0
How South Lancaster compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lancaster. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lancaster
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $107,386, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Worcester County average of 5.8 closely.
Average gross rent runs $1,325 a month.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027716101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027716101?
Census tract 25027716101 in the South Lancaster neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027716101?
Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027716101?
10.4% of residents in tract 25027716101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,552.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027716101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 30th, minority 25th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 25027716101 considered part of South Lancaster?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027716101 fall within South Lancaster (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027716101 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027716101 compare to Clinton overall?
Tract 25027716101 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Clinton at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clinton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related