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Neighborhood · Clinton, MA

South Lancaster Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,575 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.3–6.5

South Lancaster takes in 2 census tracts of Clinton, MA, population 6,575. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 30% of renter households. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.3 to 6.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 1.8% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,282, 9% below the Clinton average of $1,415. Judgments average 0.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Lancaster vs Clinton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.1% 0%
Clinton: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,282 -9%
Clinton: $1,415
Average HH income
$93,845 +19%
Clinton: $78,909
Poverty rate
9.0% +1%
Clinton: 9.0%
Renter share
41.0% -21%
Clinton: 52.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Lancaster and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–6.5

Why South Lancaster scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.3 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 4.0–9.2 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.4 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 1.9–2.6 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–2.1 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

South Lancaster vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Lancaster score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.9South LancasterNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Lancaster

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
25027716200 6.5 3,023 41% $1,232
25027716101 5.3 3,552 20% $1,325
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Lancaster

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings (sum)
  • 1.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.84%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Lancaster

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Lancaster

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Lancaster?

South Lancaster scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Lancaster compare to Clinton overall?

South Lancaster scores 0.4 points lower than Clinton overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,282 vs $1,415.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Lancaster?

Average gross rent in South Lancaster is $1,282/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Lancaster residents are renters?

41% of South Lancaster households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Clinton). The neighborhood has 6,575 residents.
Q5

Is South Lancaster a high social-vulnerability area?

South Lancaster sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Lancaster have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Lancaster is census tract 25027716200 (score 6.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.5, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is South Lancaster for landlords?

South Lancaster carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Clinton as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Lancaster?

South Lancaster has 6,556 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.6%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Lancaster

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