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Neighborhood · Clinton, MA

South Lancaster Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,575 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3–3.4

South Lancaster is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Clinton with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,575 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,282/month sits 9% lower than the Clinton citywide average ($1,415).

Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Lancaster vs Clinton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.1% 0%
Clinton: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,282 -9%
Clinton: $1,415
Average HH income
$93,845 +19%
Clinton: $78,909
Poverty rate
9.0% +1%
Clinton: 9.0%
Renter share
41.0% -21%
Clinton: 52.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Lancaster and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why South Lancaster scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.3 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 4.0–9.2 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.4 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 1.9–2.6 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–2.1 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

South Lancaster vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Lancaster score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Lancaster: 3.23.2South LancasterNeighborhoodParent city: 5.85.8Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Lancaster

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25027716200 3.4 3,023 41% $1,232
25027716101 3 3,552 20% $1,325
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Lancaster

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings (sum)
  • 1.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.84%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Lancaster

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Lancaster

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Lancaster?

South Lancaster scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Lancaster compare to Clinton overall?

South Lancaster scores 2.6 points lower than Clinton overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,282 vs $1,415.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Lancaster?

Average gross rent in South Lancaster is $1,282/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Lancaster residents are renters?

41% of South Lancaster households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Clinton). The neighborhood has 6,575 residents.
Q5

Is South Lancaster a high social-vulnerability area?

South Lancaster sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Lancaster have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Lancaster is census tract 25027716200 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is South Lancaster for landlords?

South Lancaster carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Clinton as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Lancaster?

South Lancaster has 6,556 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.6%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Lancaster

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